Being good at fantasy football is sort of like being good at karaoke, in that I'm the best at both. Just kidding, except if I do win it all in which case I called it. Since statistics did so well in the presidential election I figured I would continue the trend and build the PR solely based on statistics. Since Fantasy Football takes no skill whatsoever, (unless your Drew, you have to really try to draft a team that bad.
Based on 9 weeks of scoring here...
AVG Points Scored
| Row Labels | Average of POINTS |
| Elkins | 1168.56 |
| Mitch | 1150.07 |
| Taylor | 1137.73 |
| Cha | 1117.78 |
| Justin | 1083.76 |
| Mike | 1055.80 |
| Eric | 1019.44 |
| Andrew | 994.67 |
| Jason | 975.53 |
| Tim | 916.51 |
| Jesse / Dave | 908.69 |
| Drew | 892.04 |
| Grand Total | 1035.05 |
Next, is the average difference from the league average of points scored. IE negative equals score more that the league average. Ryan on average scores almost 100 points more than the league average. This stat is literally restating the last one in a different way. I do this for work all the time at work too. My boss hasn't caught on.
| Average of Difference | |
| TEAM | Total |
| Elkins | -98.83 |
| Mitch | -80.34 |
| Taylor | -68.00 |
| Cha | -48.05 |
| Justin | -14.03 |
| Mike | 13.93 |
| Eric | 50.28 |
| Andrew | 75.06 |
| Jason | 94.20 |
| Tim | 153.22 |
| Jesse / Dave | 161.04 |
| Drew | 177.68 |
| Grand Total | 34.68 |
Strength of Remaining Schedule
It panned out that there were three distinct groups when I looked at strength of schedule.
I took a +/- for each opponent left for everyone. The (-2) Group has the easiest schedule, ( 0 ) is the next easiest. the (+6) has the toughest schedule, no light at the end of the tunnel for Tim. Sorry buddy.
| Schedule | Week 11 | Week 12 | Total |
| Elkins | -5 | 3 | -2 |
| Taylor | 1 | -3 | -2 |
| Cha | -1 | -1 | -2 |
| Mike | 3 | -5 | -2 |
| Jesse / Dave | -1 | -1 | -2 |
| Drew | -3 | 1 | -2 |
| Mitch | -5 | 5 | 0 |
| Eric | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| Jason | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Justin | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Tim | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Finally, I projected the remaining games (including week 10 results) based on Avg Pts scored head to head.
| Avg Pts 9 games | Team | Week 11 | W/L? | Week 12 | W/L? | Expected Wins | Total Wins | Total Losses |
| 1150.07 | Mitch | 916.51 | W | 1083.76 | W | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| 1083.76 | Justin | 994.67 | W | 1150.07 | L | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 1137.73 | Taylor | 1055.80 | W | 1168.56 | L | 1 | 7 | 5 |
| 1117.78 | Cha | 1019.44 | W | 975.53 | W | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| 1055.80 | Mike | 1137.73 | L | 892.04 | W | 1 | 7 | 5 |
| 1019.44 | Eric | 1117.78 | L | 975.53 | W | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 994.67 | Andrew | 1083.76 | L | 916.51 | W | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 908.69 | Jesse / Dave | 975.53 | L | 1019.44 | L | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 975.53 | Jason | 908.69 | W | 1117.78 | L | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 1168.56 | Elkins | 892.04 | W | 1137.73 | W | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 916.51 | Tim | 1150.07 | L | 994.67 | L | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 892.04 | Drew | 1168.56 | L | 1137.73 | L | 1 | 4 | 8 |
In summation, here is the PR
1) Mitch - No way he doesn't win the regular season crown. He says it so much that it's begun to lose its meaning, but he does have the best team.
2) Justin - Strength of schedule is going to cost Justin the regular season crown. A first round bye should be a solid consolation.
3) Taylor - Though I think may have overtaken Taylor in AVG pts scored this week (was not included in calcs) Taylor has had a great season and deserves to be in the 3rd spot. Good job Taylor, you;re going to lose in the first round of the playoffs
4) Cha - After half a season of coming up short the numbers are finally regressing to the mean. Scoring the 4th most points (maybe 3rd by this point) my record is finally starting to match the stats. I have one of the easier schedules too. Yay!
5) Mike - Hog
6) Eric -The final playoff spot will come down pts and Eric will have the advantage in points scored. I'm not going to look at his team at all. Like I said, this is just about the stats, they've never steered us wrong! Right? Right?
Outside looking in
7) Ryan - OK so I lied it's not about the stats, Ryan's team has done nothing but score points. He also just happened to be playing the person scored the most points on like 100 occasions. I don't care what his record ends up Ryan is firmly in 7th place for ALL TIME!
8) Andrew - Looks like Bortles poor performance of the last, I dunno, SEASON cost Andrew a playoff spot bc he can't score points. Ironic
9) Dave/Jesse - This was the team that scared me most after the draft. Too bad for them injuries tanked their season. Sorry Dudes.
10) Jason - He either trades his way to a championship or to Oblivion. This year was the latter.
11) Tim - I don't know what to think about teams. Correction, I don't want to think about Tim's team.
12) Drew - Worst Place.